Augur: Prediction Tracker

Augur is a private forecasting journal for people who want to get better at predicting the future — not by guessing, but by tracking. Most of us make dozens of predictions a year — about elections, the economy, our health, our careers, our teams — and forget almost all of them the moment they're made. We remember the times we were right and quietly drop the times we were wrong. Augur fixes that. Write down what you believe will happen. Set a deadline. Lock it. Once locked, a prediction can never be edited — only resolved. When the date arrives, Augur asks you the only question that matters: were you right? Over time, this builds an honest, permanent record of your judgment — broken down by category, so you can finally see where your instincts are sharp and where you're fooling yourself. Why people use Augur: No more hindsight bias. Predictions are locked the moment you make them — no rewriting history. See your real accuracy. A calibration score, plus a category-by-category breakdown, shows exactly where your judgment holds up — weighted fairly, so one lucky guess in a category you rarely predict in won't outrank a category you've genuinely proven yourself in. Build the habit privately. Hide predictions until their resolution date so nothing colors your thinking in the meantime. Track what matters to you. Politics, markets, health, career, sports, or fully custom categories you create yourself. No account, no friction. Open the app and start — nothing to sign up for, nothing to remember. Get reminded, not nagged. A heads-up 24 hours before a prediction resolves, and a nudge the moment it's ready — with the option to decide later if you're not ready to call it. Share your track record. A clean, shareable stats card for when you actually want to show your work. Augur won't tell you what to think. It'll tell you how often you're right — and that's far more valuable. Free to download. No account required. Your data stays private by default.